Ethereum Price Could Break Through The Merge, According To Arthur Hayes
In a new blog post, Arthur Hayes predicts that Ethereum‘s price will rise following its upgrade, despite unfavorable US dollar (USD) liquidity conditions.
According to Hayes, the Federal Reserve can keep fighting inflation by hiking interest rates without harming the markets as long as the USD Liquidity Conditions Index grows, a gauge he created that correlates with Bitcoin (BTC).
“If the quantity of money has a greater effect than its price on financial markets, then the Fed can raise interest rates all it wants without hurting the market – so long as the USD Liquidity Conditions Index also rises.”
Hayes’ USD Liquidity Conditions Index is calculated by subtracting the total amount of New York Federal Reserve reverse repo bids as well as the US Treasury general account balance held at the NY Fed from the Fed’s overall balance sheet.
Hayes, on the other hand, argues that rough macroeconomic conditions aren’t shaking his faith in the dominant smart contract platform, but that price action may be less than he expected.
“I think the Merge will drive positive price movement for ETH regardless of USD liquidity conditions.
I still believe that the positive price impact of a severe reduction in ETH emissions and the positive reflexivity between the price/network activity/network usage would overcome any situation in which USD Liquidity Conditions are tightening – it’s just that the price movement might be weaker than I forecasted or hoped for.”
At the time of writing, ETH is trading at $1702.
DISCLAIMER: The Information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.
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