Bitcoin Dominance (BTCD) has been hovering along a descending resistance line since July 30, and has just fallen below the 41.30% support area.
Technical indicators and price action suggest it is likely to hit a new all-time low.
BTCD has been down since January when it hit a high of 73.65%. The decline lasted through May 19, culminating in a low of 39.66%.
BTCD recovered at the time, but fell back into the 40% zone. This creates a potential raised floor.
The double bottom is viewed as a bullish pattern and there are several potential bullish reversal signs, such as a bullish divergence in the RSI.
However, both the divergence and the pattern have yet to be confirmed as lower values could invalidate them. In addition, the MACD is falling and last week it created a lower momentum bar (red symbol). Additionally, there is a risk that the RSI could drop below 30.
Hence, there aren’t enough bullish signs to confirm a bullish trend reversal.
BTCD weekly chart | Source: TradingView
Trader @TheEuroSniper sketched the BTCD chart and said a close below the 40% zone could result in a fall to 32%.
The source: Twitter
The daily chart also paints a bearish picture. BTCD has been falling along with a descending resistance line since July 30th.
In addition, the price fell below the 41.50% support area on September 8th and is currently in the process of confirming this as resistance.
The technical indicators are also falling. While the RSI is likely to create a bullish divergence, it is still below the 30. Furthermore, the MACD is falling.
A decline below the May 17 low of 39.66% would likely push BTCD to its 2018 low of 36%.
BTCD daily chart | Source: TradingView
The most likely wavenumber indicates that BTCD is on the fifth wave of a bearish pulse (orange).
The potential target for the bottom of the movement is the 33.89% – 35.85% zone. It was found based on the length of wave one (orange) and the 1.61 retracement FIb level outside of wave 4 (black).
The 33.89% level would mark a new all-time low.
BTCD daily chart | Source: TradingView
You can see the BTC price here.
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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Investors should research carefully before making a decision. We are not responsible for your investment decisions.
SN_Nour
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