Key Points:
In a recent article, they suggest that the crypto winter, a period of bearish market conditions, may be coming to an end. The article, published on a Tuesday, highlights that current data indicates a potential end to the crypto winter and the beginning of a promising period known as “crypto spring.” This shift in sentiment is based on thorough analysis and market indicators.
Morgan Stanley’s investment experts focus on historical patterns in the crypto space, particularly on Bitcoin (BTC). Previous crypto winters have typically seen a decline in Bitcoin’s value occur around 12 to 14 months after reaching its peak. In this case, Bitcoin reached its all-time high of nearly $68,000 in November 2021 and experienced a low point about a year later.
According to strategist Denny Galindo, a significant indicator of market recovery is a substantial increase in Bitcoin’s price after its low point. When Bitcoin’s price surges by approximately 50% from its low, it often signifies the end of a downturn. Supporting the optimism, Bitcoin has shown a remarkable recovery trend, with a 70% increase in value year-to-date and an impressive 77% rise from the previous year’s lows.
Galindo highlights the importance of this event, noting that it has triggered three notable bull runs in Bitcoin’s history, each lasting approximately 12 to 18 months after a halving event. The deliberate reduction in new Bitcoin supply resulting from halving events has the potential to stimulate significant price increases, ultimately fostering these extended periods of positive market sentiment.
DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.
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