Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (TMTG) is a technology and media organization. The company runs a social media network that emphasizes open and unrestricted discussion among its users. TMTG facilitates content creation, user following, and participation in an open worldwide dialogue through its platform. DJT is the stock trading code symbol of TMTG.
DJT stock stands at $19.5 as of September 1, 2024, and represents the business ventures of former President Donald Trump. Today, the stock is up $2.05 year-to-date, though the rollercoaster year on the legal front with an assassination attempt ending on a high note. This price, however, is still way below its peak reached in 2022 at $97.54.
The market capitalization sits at $3.85 billion, which reflects a wide array of assets that includes New York real estate, global hotel chains, media royalties, and other business interests. Among those assets is Truth Social-a social media platform pitched as an alternative to X, formerly known as Twitter-on both Apple and Android devices-courtesy of Trump Media.
Of course, it would appear that the assassination attempt on Trump’s life on July 13, 2024, in connection with a campaign rally in Pennsylvania, certainly had a number of salutary effects on the stock performance of DJT. In fact, the stock price of DJT on its first trading day on July 15 went through the roof. This also coincided with Trump’s formal nomination as the Republican presidential candidate, further propelling him against President Joe Biden, who was originally expected to be the Democratic nominee.
All this changed dramatically on July 21 when Biden exited the race and named as his replacement the vice president, Kamala Harris. And in a surprise shift, the betting political markets believe that she will beat Trump in the coming November election.
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During the second quarter of 2024, TMTG’s revenue reached $837,000, with the lion’s share coming from interest income at $2.3 million. Despite such income, the company reported a GAAP net loss of $16.4 million. This was primarily due to $8.3 million in legal fees related to its merger with Digital World Acquisition Corp. and $3.1 million related to IT consulting and software licensing.
However, TMTG remains in great financial shape, with $344 million of cash on its balance sheet and zero debt- a great position in which to be for future growth, particularly with the recent expansion of its streaming platform, Truth+.
During this quarter, much of the efforts and focus went toward building and launching Truth+, its TV streaming platform. It initially launched on the web before reaching both Android and iOS devices. It features TMTG’s proprietary content delivery network, CDN, designed to operate independently of major tech companies as a way to cut down the risk of cancellation.
The company also started beta testing of new features such as interactive 14-day electronic programming guide, network DVR capabilities, and video on demand, which could enhance user experience and therefore help in TMTG’s growth in the conservative media market.
DJT stock struggled in a torrid quarter that saw it plummet 45.26%. This is in comparison to the general market, where the S&P 500 and NASDAQ realized gains of 3.85% and 7.67%, respectively. DJT shares fell from $59.83 to $32.75, reaching the quarterly peak at $61 and the bottom at $22.55.
That slump is indicative of a market spooked by TMTG’s roadmap toward monetization and federal scrutiny on the whole industry, let alone investor sentiment. And yet, with all the hiccups, TMTG is still in such a large cash position that it can be resilient and further invest in growth opportunities.
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By the end of 2024, DJT stock is expected to be in a precarious technical environment. Current market analysis shows the trendline and baseline of the stock to have directly targeted a prevailing downtrend.
The forecasts on DJT stock price are pretty extreme. A cautious estimate of $50 per share by the end of 2024 is supported by the momentum witnessed in the change of polarity within both the short- and mid-term trends, relating to Fibonacci retracement and extension levels.
This estimate does assume upward momentum for the stock. In the best-case scenario, this could go as high as $80, pending a strong upward swing. On the other hand, the pessimistic scenario expects a sharp sell-off toward $15 in case the negative momentum further dominates.
Several factors can be attributed to these mixed projections. Inherent risks in TMTG, the DJT stock issuer, revolve around niche users and continuous legal and regulatory challenges. The highly politicized environment of this brand will further constrict its mass-market penetration and could consequently affect financial performance and stock value for the whole of 2024.
Medium-term for DJT stock price prediction in the year 2025: it will be relatively stable in price. Prognosis expects shares to hopefully reach up to $40/share. This might go higher in case of Trump’s win in late 2024. Although some negative financial key indicators like free cash flow, operating income, net income, or ROE, DJT shows long-term solvency in a low debt-to-equity ratio and positive net debt.
Still looking ahead, some analysts believe the DJT stock can hold on to a value of approximately $35 per share in 2030. This will be underwhelming growth from current predictors and market metrics, which would hint that DJT stock struggles to continue appreciating in value.
With all these bright prospects for growth, TMTG still faces some struggles. Among the most important of these is its dependence on the niche user base, which raises considerable difficulties in attempts at scaling up audiences and reaching sustainable growth in it.
Besides, TMTG continues to face legal and regulatory scrutiny amid turmoil surrounding its brand because of the political climate. These factors will possibly bring large risks for broad adoption, negative implications on the financial performance, and stock value of the company in 2024.
The prospects of TMTG appear even grimmer going forward. Current valuations point toward disconnection with growth capabilities. Markets are very likely to correct Trump Media stock significantly as market sentiment shifts away from speculative trading to value. While it may be tempting to trade short-term with money that investors can actually afford to lose, TMTG doesn’t have the apparent fundamentals in place that set it up for success as a longer-term investment.
The outlook of the DJT in 2024 would be turbulent and unpredictable. Its stock has plunged significantly because of a question mark over monetization, regulatory issues, and investor sentiment in the market.
Though the company has a probable reason for the growth in its Truth+ streaming service, high financial ratios indicate overvaluation. Indeed, it can be said that the only driving force for DJT stock to accomplish this feat in 2024 is Trump in the case of a win in the current presidential election in the White House race.
As of September 1, 2024, DJT stock is trading at $19.5.
Consider the current market and political factors as Trump is currently at a disadvantage in the race for the White House.
It will be difficult to make an accurate assessment of DJT stock price but $1000 target may be impossible at the moment.
According to Nasdaq, there are currently 200 million DJT shares outstanding.
DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing. |
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