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Read more: US Stock Plunge: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia Down Big, JPMorgan Sees Bargains
According to Bloomberg, the Nvidia stock decline coincides with the overall worry about the health of the US economy and the sustainability of the booming AI trade that may have overextended itself for some.
In the past fortnight alone, Nvidia, the world’s largest producer of AI chips, has seen a fifth of its market value vaporized. Its volatility has leapt above both its cohorts in the “Magnificent Seven” grouping of technology stocks, and Bitcoin too.
At the same time, over the past 30 trading days, shares in Nvidia have swung in a range from $90.69 to $131.26, forcing its 30-day realized volatility to 80-that’s four times that of Microsoft, twice as much as Bitcoin and even more than meme stocks like Donald Trump’s media company and Elon Musk’s Tesla.
The recent Nvidia stock decline was the worst two-week stretch in two years for the company. A lukewarm forecast and technical issues with the company’s Blackwell chip were some of the reasons that cooled investor optimism. Besides that, subpoenas from the US Justice Department connected with an antitrust probe, along with a disappointing sales forecast from Broadcom, have not been helpful to sentiment toward chipmakers.
Even with this pullback, Nvidia has been an outperformer for investors in 2024, up more than 100% year-to-date, adding $1.3 trillion in market value. Major customers like Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon have all reaffirmed spending on the infrastructure needed for AI trends, which are likely to continue well into quarters to come.
While Nvidia’s latest earnings report beat estimates both for revenue and adjusted earnings, failure to meet expectations on the high end has reined in investor enthusiasm accustomed to nothing less than spectacular. That has been dampening optimism about the sustainability of AI-related spending, and there is ongoing volatility in its shares. To the long-term investor, though, this may be a buying opportunity.
DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing. |
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