Analysis

Jan 27 Evening technical analysis: BTC, ETH, XRP

BTC price action prompted significant buying during the early New York session, up more than 5%. Likewise, ETH price is up more than 24% from the weekly low. XRP price continues to lag behind BTC and ETH in terms of performance, but is expected to recover soon.

BTC aims back at $40,000

Bitcoin is preparing for a significant move higher or a brutal bearish continuation. On the daily Ichimoku chart, Tenkan-Sen’s intraday resistance stands at $38,275. The price not moving and closing above the Tenkan-Sen on the daily chart could trigger a sell order again. This is especially true today as it is the first “Fed Day” of 2022.

If buyers can close the price above the Tenkan-Sen, the next resistance will be between $40,000 (Kijun-Sen) and $41,000 (61.8% Fib retracement).

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo BTC/USD daily chart | Source: TradingView

Bitcoin upside potential beyond $40,000 could be capped at the 50% Fib retracement level at $45,500. Downside risk is limited to the 2022 swing low at $33,000.

ETH moves higher in the 4th trading session

ETH is on the rise. It’s hard to believe that since the price opened this week, the price is down 18% and is now up 4%. As if that weren’t enough, the largest altcoin by cap is likely to continue moving north. The 24% rally from weekly chart lows may have triggered more short squeezes yet to materialize.

The main technical action in ETH price is a return on the weekly Ichimoku cloud. The cloud weekly close combined with the extremely oversold conditions in the weekly oscillators provides a solid foundation for ETH to retest the $4,000 region.

Weekly Ichimoku Kinko Hyo ETH/USD chart | Source: TradingView

Traders should be cautious despite the current bullish activity, especially today as it is Fed Day. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) will provide forward-looking comments and guidance on interest rates, monetary policy contractions and future inflation. Any hint of heightened caution from the Fed could have a negative impact on ETH price and all risky markets like crypto.

A weekly close below the cloud low at or below $2,300 will invalidate any bullish outlook.

XRP back to $1

XRP has found strong support near the 50% Fib retracement at $0.64 and the 161.8% Fib retracement at $0.60. This support comes as XRP develops very oversold conditions in the RSI, Composite Index, and Optex bands.

Perhaps the most important warning sign that a new bull run is coming is the Gann Cycle 180 days a year (180 to 198 days). This is the second strongest annual cycle. Gann wrote that a 180-day cycle has a high probability of establishing necessary support-1 or resistance levels. In addition, he noted that reversals are common in this time cycle.

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo XRP/USD Chart | Source: TradingView

The bulls should look for a move back to test the $1 value zone if XRP can close above the 50% Fib retracement at $0.64. Downside pressure remains but is likely to be limited to the 61.8% Fib retracement level and the psychological price barrier of $0.50.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Investors should research carefully before making a decision. We are not responsible for your investment decisions.

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Annie

Championing positive change through finance, I've dedicated over eight years to sustainability and environmental journalism. My passion lies in uncovering companies that make a real difference in the world and guiding investors towards them. My expertise lies in navigating the world of sustainable investing, analyzing ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) criteria, and exploring the exciting field of impact investing. "Invest in a better future," I often say. That's the driving force behind my work at Coincu – to empower readers with knowledge and insights to make investment decisions that create a positive impact.

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