2 Key Metrics Show Bitcoin Is Ready to Reclaim $40,000

Cryptocurrencies had a volatile week after Bitcoin abruptly fell to $33,000 on Jan. 24. However, the sharp 9% decline fully recovered within 8 hours after the price regained the support at $36,000.

On Jan. 26, Bitcoin spiked to $38,960 but failed to hold that level, correcting by 8.8% over the next 8 hours. After recent ups and downs, bitcoin is up 4% in the last 7 days.

Bitcoin price 4 hour chart | Source: Trade View

Even when prices fluctuate significantly, the total futures liquidation remains relatively small at $570 million long (buyers) and $690 million short (sellers). Data shows that bitcoin futures make up 41% of the total $1.25 billion in liquidations.

The regulations regulation can restrictive Bitcoin price recovery

Total market cap is up a modest 1.6% on the weekly chart, in line with Bitcoin’s performance.

Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap (billion dollars) | Source: TradingView

Note that capitalization made a higher low on Jan. 24 and currently shows support at $1.75 trillion. Even with a 22% drop in 2022, the total crypto market cap is still up 12.5% ​​since the Jan. 24 lows.

Investors seemed to be studying this week’s regulatory news, as US Congressman Ted Budd tabled an amendment to remove a legislative provision that would have allowed the US Treasury Department to unilaterally ban certain transactions without public participation.

If the U.S. competition law of 2022 is passed in its current form, it will deal a major blow to the crypto industry, Coin Center chief executive Jerry Brito noted.

Investors were also influenced by other news out of the United States. As Cointelegraph reported, the White House is reportedly preparing a proposal that would require government agencies to conduct an analysis of cryptocurrency risks as a national security threat.

Metaverse Token works well after last week’s Apple news

The steady stream of bearish news may have been to blame for the recent market plunge, but there have been some standout performances from Metaverse tokens.

coins Price increase and decrease Every week on January 31 | Source: nomics

Apple CEO Tim Cook (AAPL) said Jan. 27 that Metaverse apps have a lot of potential and that his company is investing in more augmented reality development on its devices.

This news was enough to boost Metaverse related tokens by 36% including FLOW, SAND, MANA, ENJ and AR.

On the other hand, LUNA slipped after Avalanche-based reserve currency Wonderland Money (TIME) announced a pending proposal that would determine if the project would fail. As a result, the stablecoin MIM has fallen below 1, with some speculating that this could affect both Terra’s LUNA token and UST.

Scalable and interoperable blockchain solutions like Cosmos (ATOM), Fantom (FTM) and Harmony (ONE) are showing negative performance after Ethereum hashrate surpassed 1.11 PH/s – the highest ever. Yes. Increasing hashrate means more miners are joining the network, which strengthens blockchain security.

Pthe difference from USDT and hCME futures show improvement

The USDT spread on OKEx measures the difference between peer-to-peer (P2P) transactions in China and the official US dollar. Figures above 100% reflect overwhelming demand for crypto investments. On the other hand, a 5% discount often signals strong selling activity.

USDT peer to peer spread Above OKEx against USD | Source: OKX

The USDT indicator continues to show strength as it stayed above 99% for the past 7 days. This is in stark contrast to 3 weeks ago when Chinese traders panic-sold and left the indicator at a 4% discount.

To confirm the improved crypto market structure, traders should analyze the CME bitcoin futures premium. This index represents the difference between a longer-dated futures contract and the current spot price in conventional markets.

Whenever this indicator dips or turns negative (sell-off), it reflects bearish sentiment.

Contract Difference Fee future Bitcoin 2 months Above CME and price Bitcoin | Source: TradingView

These fixed-term contracts typically trade at a slight premium, suggesting sellers are charging more money to hold payments longer. As a result, in healthy markets, futures contracts should trade with a spread between 0.5% and 2%, a situation known as a put-off.

From Jan. 18-24, the indicator was active in a sell-off zone as Bitcoin fell below $42,000. However, as BTC showed signs that $33,000 appeared to be a local bottom, the futures market bounced back from the premium to a healthy 0.5%.

Considering that the total crypto market cap is down 22% in 2022, the market structure looks poised for a rebound.

Unless these fundamental indicators change significantly, bitcoin bulls will feel comfortable adding positions below $40,000.

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