Bitcoin On-Chain Analysis: Is the Current Uptrend Due to Short Liquidation?

Bitcoin examines Bitcoin (BTC) indices in relation to the derivatives and cash markets to determine where the current bullish demand is coming from.

Actual Net Profit/Loss

To determine if market participants will exit this rally, the actual net profit/loss indicator is analyzed. This indicator measures the net profit or loss of all transferred coins.

An interesting development is that this indicator is becoming profitable. Therefore, those who bought the floor on January 24th and February 24th are likely to take profits. However, those who bought higher are not using the current rally to exit their positions, but are holding their coins.

Source: glass node

Profitable Bitcoin supply percentage

Looking at the percentage supply in profit indicator shows that 71% of Bitcoin supply is currently profitable. Reaches the same value as July 2021.

Source: glass node

BTC’s profit share has skyrocketed from 64% to 71% during the ongoing climb.

This speaks to a huge amount of Bitcoin being bought between $37,000 and $43,000, an area expected to provide support.

Source: glass node

Futures market

In addition, the trading volume in the futures contract is not very large and is significantly lower than on February 24th. On February 28, the total volume was $70 billion, down about 30% from $98 billion on February 24.

Source: glass node

On-chain analyst @mskvsk tweeted a chart showing a small amount of BTC shorts being liquidated, suggesting the current rally is not being driven by the futures market.

Source: Twitter

Therefore, if you combine these two indicators, it turns out that the ongoing rise is not a short squeeze but is driven by real demand. This is an extremely bullish signal for BTC.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Investors should research carefully before making a decision. We are not responsible for your investment decisions

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