Analysis

Solana Is Now Down -85% Since Its All-Time High In November 2021

On June 3, the price of Solana (SOL) fell, bringing its net paper losses to 85 %, seven months after peaking above $260.

Solana Is Now Down -85% Since Its All-Time High In November 2021

After failing to rebound with conviction from 10-month lows, the SOL price plummeted by more than 6.5% intraday to $35.68.

The SOL/USD pair, which is now lying on a historically major support level, might see an upside retracement in June, with a target of $40-$45, up roughly 25% from today’s price.

SOL/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Is a 60% price drop in Solana on the way?

However, a recovery is far from certain, and Solana suffers headwinds from trading in lockstep with Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s most valuable cryptocurrency by market capitalization, which often drives patterns in the top altcoins.

In particular, as of June 4, the weekly correlation coefficient between BTC and SOL was 0.92.

SOL/USD versus BTC/USD correlation coefficient. Source: TradingView

Furthermore, if Bitcoin goes further below its present psychological support line of $30,000, Solana is likely to suffer much greater losses than BTC.

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve appears to be on a mission to raise interest rates and shrink its balance sheet. Riskier assets like Bitcoin have room to fall as a result of this aggressive stance, undermining Solana’s optimistic chances.

Breaking below SOL’s present support level of $35 increases the odds of a drop to the $18-25 region, which served as a solid support area in March-July 2021 and preceded a 1,200 percent price rally, as seen below.

SOL/USD weekly price chart. Source: CoinCu

This bearish scenario would put SOL almost 60% below today’s price.

DISCLAIMER: The Information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.

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Annie

CoinCu News

Annie

Championing positive change through finance, I've dedicated over eight years to sustainability and environmental journalism. My passion lies in uncovering companies that make a real difference in the world and guiding investors towards them. My expertise lies in navigating the world of sustainable investing, analyzing ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) criteria, and exploring the exciting field of impact investing. "Invest in a better future," I often say. That's the driving force behind my work at Coincu – to empower readers with knowledge and insights to make investment decisions that create a positive impact.

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