This prediction market tracks next french presidential election based on live Polymarket odds. Traders currently price No as the leading outcome at 100%, with $119.8M in volume and 255 days remaining.
Live Odds
| Outcome | Probability | Price | Volume | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | $0.00 | $119.8M | Live |
| No | 100% | $1.00 | $119.8M | Live |
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What does this Elections prediction market measure?
This market measures the probability traders assign to the listed outcomes for Next French Presidential Election. Prices are shown as market-implied odds and can move as new information, volume, and liquidity enter the market.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The market resolves according to the criteria published by Polymarket. Coincu republishes the data for research and news context; it does not operate the market or execute trades.
What could move this market?
Major headlines can quickly move prediction market probabilities.
Thin markets can move sharply on smaller trades, so volume matters.
Markets with clear resolution criteria are usually easier to interpret.
Probabilities often compress as the end date approaches.
Market Stats
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Historical Context
Prediction markets are useful because they compress many competing views into a live probability. For crypto markets, those views often combine price momentum, macro policy, exchange liquidity, ETF flows, and on-chain activity.
For Bitcoin-linked markets, key historical reference points include previous cycle highs, the post-halving window, institutional demand, and periods when liquidity conditions changed quickly.
FAQ
What is the current probability for Yes?
The current market-implied probability for Yes is about 0%, based on the latest available Polymarket odds shown on Coincu.
How does this Polymarket prediction market work?
Prediction market prices are commonly interpreted as market-implied probabilities. A price near $0.42 suggests traders are pricing that outcome near 42%, before fees and liquidity effects.
Is this the same as a price forecast?
No. It is a prediction market price, not Coincu's forecast or investment advice. Odds can move quickly as traders react to news, liquidity, and market conditions.
When does this market end?
The listed end date is April 30, 2027. Final settlement depends on the resolution criteria published by Polymarket for this market.
Where does Coincu get the data?
Coincu displays market data from Polymarket APIs and embeds. Data can be delayed, unavailable, or affected by third-party API limits.
Methodology and Disclaimer
Odds reflect market-implied probabilities derived from prediction market prices. Data source: Polymarket Gamma API, Polymarket CLOB API, and official Polymarket embeds where available.
Market odds are not investment advice. Coincu does not operate this market. Data may be delayed, unavailable, or affected by third-party service limits.