Crypto bear market ending by April? Signals remain inconclusive
Claims that the crypto bear market could end by April are circulating, but current evidence remains mixed. A durable turn typically requires higher highs and higher lows across majors, not a date on the calendar.
Recent volatility underscores the uncertainty. After a sharp sell-off that pushed Bitcoin (BTC) near $60,000, the price rebounded above $70,000, as reported by Bitcoin Magazine. Sentiment and liquidity conditions have not yet delivered a clear, sustained reversal.
Institutional commentary frames April as a potential inflection window rather than a deadline. A base-case support zone around $60,000–$68,000 has been highlighted by analysts, as reported by Yahoo Finance UK, with the caveat that broader risk-off moves could still extend downside.
Tom Lee’s April call: what it is and context
Tom Lee’s view has drawn attention because he has been an influential market strategist during prior crypto cycles. The call is time-bound and therefore subject to market path dependency, including liquidity, macro data, and positioning.
In that context, Lee situates April as a latest possible window for the bear phase to conclude. “Crypto bear market may end by April at the latest,” said Tom Lee, veteran market strategist, as reported by MEXC news.
Other desks have described April as a plausible turning point, but they emphasize conditional drivers such as market breadth, on-chain resilience, and macro stabilization. Without multiple confirming signals, a calendar-based cutoff remains speculative.
What changes now: Bitcoin, ETF outflows, Federal Reserve signals
For Bitcoin, stabilization above key prior ranges needs to be sustained and broadened. A constructive path would feature improving breadth beyond BTC, healthier derivatives funding, and diminishing downside volatility.
Spot ETF flow dynamics remain pivotal. A persistent outflows streak would tighten liquidity and risk tolerance, while sustained net inflows would support price discovery and trend repair. Neither outcome is preordained.
Macro remains the variable with the largest reach. According to Cointelegraph coverage of network economists, delays in expected federal reserve rate cuts have been flagged as a headwind for crypto risk assets. Inflation and dollar strength could therefore influence the timeline into April.
Market signals to watch through April
Bitcoin rebounds above $70k while sentiment stays in extreme fear
At the time of this writing, Bitcoin has reclaimed the $70,000 handle following a steep drawdown. The rebound helps, but confirming signals still require persistence and breadth.
Despite price improvement, sentiment indicators remain fragile, with “extreme fear” framing still visible in market discourse. Historically, fear alone is not a timing tool; confirmation must come from market structure.
ETF outflows streak and US CPI at 2.4% shift risk
An ETF outflows streak would pressure liquidity, widen bid-ask conditions, and dampen follow-through. Conversely, steady inflows would reinforce accumulation signals and reduce tail-risk of breakdowns.
If US CPI runs near 2.4%, disinflation trends could shift rate expectations and risk appetite. Either turn, inflows resuming or inflation softening, would materially shape crypto’s path into April.
FAQ about crypto bear market
What price levels and technical signals would confirm a Bitcoin bottom?
A higher low, a break and hold above prior resistance, and sustained reclaim of key moving averages on rising breadth and volume would support a bottoming case.
How are spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and outflows influencing the market trend?
Persistent net inflows support liquidity and trend repair; sustained outflows tighten liquidity and increase downside sensitivity, often amplifying volatility.
Information contained herein is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Digital assets are volatile and can result in total loss of capital.
| DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing. |
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