Polymarket Traders Face Losses; 70% Unprofitable

Key Points:
  • Over 70% of traders on Polymarket are unprofitable, accumulating $3.7 billion in profits.
  • Losses exceed $1 million for 149 of 1.73 million addresses.
  • Top performers, accounting for 0.0385% of traders, dominate earnings.

New data from defioasis.eth reveals that, as of December 29, 70% of the 1.73 million Polymarket trading addresses experienced losses, with a mere 0.0385% capturing over 70% of $3.7 billion in profits.

This concentration of profits among top performers raises questions about the distribution of wealth in prediction markets, impacting market dynamics and trader strategies on decentralized platforms.

70% of Polymarket Traders Face Losses, A Few Emerge Profitable

Polymarket trading data, sourced from defioasis.eth and reported by PANews, uncovers a notable profit concentration on the platform. Nearly 30% of 1,733,785 addresses are profitable, while 0.0385% of the top performers account for $3.7 billion. This small subset controls over 70% of the total profits.

The data indicates a stark disparity in profitability, as 63.5% of addresses have losses under $1,000. Notably, 149 addresses faced losses exceeding $1 million, illustrating significant financial challenges for some traders on the platform. These statistics are based solely on realized profits and losses.

No significant reactions or statements emerged from Polymarket executives or key figures in the crypto community regarding these figures. The absence of direct responses might suggest an acceptance of profit distribution trends in prediction markets, though general discussions about these issues continue in the broader crypto community.

Ethereum’s Current Market Performance and Expert Analysis

Did you know? Only 0.0385% of Polymarket trading addresses capture 70% of total profits, illustrating a unique concentration compared to more evenly distributed profit markets.

Ethereum (ETH) currently trades at $2,934.42, with a market cap of $354.17 billion. The cryptocurrency’s trading volume reached $27.39 billion, marking an increase of 188.48% in the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. Over recent months, ETH experienced significant declines: -21.99% over 60 days and -29.65% over 90 days.

ethereum-daily-chart-2376
Ethereum(ETH), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 21:46 UTC on December 29, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap

Coincu analysis suggests the concentration of profitability on platforms like Polymarket could potentially influence trading and liquidity strategies within the DeFi sector. Historical patterns indicate that trading dynamics often shape user engagement and financial outcomes in prediction markets. For insights into how smart investors navigate these markets, you might find the analysis on smart money netting profit on Polymarket particularly informative.

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