Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle Broken, Says ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood

2 mins mins

Key Points:

Cathie Wood asserts Bitcoin’s cycle now driven by macro factors.
Bitcoin’s cycle low likely already occurred, per Wood’s insights.
Market anticipates liquidity turn to benefit Bitcoin significantly.

Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, asserted on December 9th that Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle has been disrupted, potentially reaching its cycle low, as reported by Bitcoin Magazine.

The statement reflects a shift towards macro and liquidity-driven cycles, impacting institutional strategies and potential Bitcoin valuations, influencing investor sentiment and market dynamics significantly.

Macroeconomic Shift Redefines Bitcoin’s Cycle Dynamics

ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood recently claimed that Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle, primarily influenced by halving events, is shifting towards a macro-driven model. Wood posits that global liquidity and institutional flows are now key factors in Bitcoin’s trajectory, potentially rendering previous cycle patterns obsolete.

The implications of this shift are becoming apparent, with the possibility that Bitcoin’s cycle low has been reached. Bitcoin’s cycle low has been a key focus for investors, with Wood’s assertion suggesting that new factors, such as macroeconomic conditions, could usher in a new era of Bitcoin growth, driven by institutional adoption and global liquidity.

Cathie Wood, Founder, CEO & CIO of ARK Invest, “We believe that Bitcoin’s trajectory is now driven more by global liquidity, institutional adoption, and its role as a macro asset than by the traditional 4-year halving pattern.”: ARK Invest Commentary

Current Bitcoin Price and Future Prospects

Did you know? Bitcoin has traditionally followed a clear four-year halving cycle, but Cathie Wood’s insights suggest that we may be entering a period where macroeconomic influences play a more significant role in determining Bitcoin’s price movements.

According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin’s current price is $93,041.41 with a market cap of $1.86 trillion. Its 24-hour trading volume is approximately $65.18 billion, reflecting a 9.42% change. Recent price movements include a 2.85% increase over the last 24 hours, despite a 10.96% decrease over the past 30 days.

bitcoin-daily-chart-4891 — Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 20:31 UTC on December 9, 2025. *Source: CoinMarketCap*

Insights from the Coincu research team indicate that potential regulatory changes and increased institutional investment could fuel further price stability and growth for Bitcoin. Historical trends show a consistent reaction to macroeconomic factors, supporting Wood’s assertion of a cycle shift from traditional patterns.

DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.