What will Alvara (ALVA) be valued at in 2024, 2025, 2025, and up to 2053? In this Alvara price prediction, we will look more closely at Alvara's current market position concerning trading volume, market capitalization, and past price movements to support investors set price targets and assess confidence levels. We will also break down expert analysis and technical indicators that give a better view of where ALVA might head in the coming months & years.

We utilize one of the most common statistical approaches to time-series forecasting known as the ARIMA model for the price prediction of cryptocurrencies.
ARIMA-ARMA plus differencing to create a stationary time series. A stationary series is one whose statistical properties are constant over time. Differencing cancels out any trend or pattern this method might have, enabling the model to interpret data structure and provide a good forecast.

Alvara (ALVA) has steadily grown over the past year, peaking at an all-time high of 2.854104004198455. Following a market-wide correction, Alvara settled at 0.3553, serving as a stabilizing influence during this cycle.
According to our current Alvara price prediction, the value of Alvara is expected to INCREASE by 1375%, reaching 5.24 by mid Dec 2026. Since Nov 2024, Alvara has INCREASED by (((cprice) - price_n-30)/ price_n-30) *100.
Based on this trend, we anticipate a possible stabilization in the coming month. By the end of Jan 2025, the value of Alvara is projected to INCREASE by 102% and reach approximately 0.7167.
Additionally, the update from the development team of Alvara in the last months shows an active project and development. Online discussions, especially on social platforms like Twitter and Reddit, have been replete with great excitement in the past month for features that are to come.
Overall, Alvara growth gives a return on investment of 102% in the short run, while for the long term, projections in Dec 2026 exceed 1375%.

The ARIMA model is defined by three parameters: p, d, and q.

• p: the number of past observations that the model will consider. This is the AR component which is expressed as below: $$ X_t = \phi_1 X_{t-1} + \phi_2 X_{t-2} + \cdots + \phi_p X_{t-p} + Z_t$$
  $$ X_t = \sum_{i=1}^{p} \phi_i X_{t-i} + Z_t $$
• d: the degree of differencing, which is the number of times needed to subtract the previous day’s price from today’s price to make the data consistent at all points in time. (The I component)
• q: the number of past errors in prediction. This is the MA component and is expressed as: $$ X_t = Z_t + \theta_1 Z_{t-1} + \theta_2 Z_{t-2} + \cdots + \theta_q Z_{t-q} $$
  $$ X_t = Z_t + \theta_1 Z_{t-1} + \theta_2 Z_{t-2} + \cdots + \theta_q Z_{t-q} $$

The ARIMA(p, d, q) model is the combination of the AR(p) and MA(q) and differencing: $$ \Delta dX_t = \sum_{i=1}^{p} \phi_i \Delta dX_{t-i} + Z_t + \sum_{i=1}^{q} \theta_i Z_{t-i} $$ Where:

• 𝑋𝑡: the time series X at a time t, and 𝑋𝑡−𝑖 is X at a previous point in time.
• 𝑍𝑡: the error terms or white noise, and 𝑍𝑡−𝑖 is Z at a previous point in time.
• 𝜙: the parameters of the autoregressive part of the model.
• 𝜃: the parameters of the moving average part of the model.
• ∇ 𝑑𝑋𝑡: the differenced time series (d times).