Fed Expected to Cut Rates in December, Impacts Crypto Markets

Key Points:
  • Fed’s potential 25bps rate cut in December sparks crypto market interest.
  • BTC above $90,000 amid rate cut expectations.
  • Market anticipates liquidity boost in 2026.

The CME’s FedWatch Tool indicates an 89.4% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at their December meeting.

This potential rate cut could enhance liquidity, positively impacting risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as market players anticipate easing financial conditions.

Fed’s Rate Cut and Crypto’s Bullish Momentum

CME’s FedWatch Tool suggests a strong likelihood for a 25 basis point rate cut in December. This indication reflects a broader consensus for monetary easing. Market participants and institutions are watching Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chair, alongside the FOMC, who are expected to provide clearer guidance soon.

Implications include potential growth in capital flow into digital assets, making environments more favorable for crypto investments. Bitcoin futures have shown increased interest, indicating preparation for possible Fed actions.

Community and market reactions point to optimism. Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao notes more capital likely entrusting crypto, while BitMEX’s Arthur Hayes emphasizes risk assets primed for growth. Ethereum co-founder, Vitalik Buterin, remains optimistic about Ethereum’s expansion.

“The Fed is finally admitting that inflation is under control and growth is slowing. This is the green light for risk assets. I am long BTC, ETH, and high-beta alts. The next 12 months will be explosive if the Fed keeps cutting.” — Arthur Hayes, Former CEO, BitMEX

Historical Context, Price Data, and Expert Analysis

Did you know? The potential rate cuts echo similar Fed policies from the 2019–2020 period, during which Bitcoin rose significantly, setting a precedent for current market optimism.

Bitcoin (BTC), listed at $93,101.45, holds a market cap of 1,858,331,903,360.74. Despite a slight 0.87% dip in 24 hours, BTC demonstrates strong market dominance, at 58.72%, with high trading volumes per CoinMarketCap.

bitcoin-daily-chart-4925
Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 19:01 UTC on December 10, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap

Insights indicate that favorable monetary conditions may positively affect Bitcoin, with a strong historical performance following rate cuts. Stablecoins and other crypto assets might see expanded adoption. Regulatory frameworks and decentralized finance innovations continue to intersect with these macroeconomic trends.

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