BTC

$66660.131

0.42%

ETH

$1939.282

-0.30%

XRP

$1.402

-1.39%

BNB

$605.379

0.19%

Markets

CME Data Indicates Likelihood of Hawkish Federal Reserve Pause

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Key Points:
  • The Fed is likely to maintain current rates, influencing crypto markets.
  • 97.2% probability of rate pause.
  • 2.8% chance of a basis point rate cut.

Ahead of the FOMC decision, CME FedWatch data reveals a 97.2% chance of a rate pause, sparking market concerns of a prolonged period without rate changes.

Market participants worry about the potential implications of a “hawkish pause,” which may affect institutional moves in BTC and ETH, as observed on January 28.

97.2% Probability: Federal Reserve Rate Pause Expected

CME FedWatch data highlights an overwhelming 97.2% likelihood of a rate pause from the Federal Reserve. Analysts and traders are gearing up for closely watched outcomes, with Bitcoin and Ethereum’s stability at stake. Jeff Park noted that:

Market observers are closely examining potential shifts in monetary policies that could impact long-term crypto prices.

BingX offers exclusive rewards and top-tier security for new and high-volume crypto traders.

“My latest view on Bitcoin is that it is still a ‘trader’s market,’ volatility key to upside.”

Crypto Market Reactions Amid Expected Federal Rate Hold

Did you know? Historical FOMC meetings often precede Bitcoin price drops, with a 9% average decline observed after 7 of the 8 gatherings in 2025.

Ethereum’s current market data shows a price of $3,008.29, with a market cap nearing $363.08 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. Recent 24-hour trading volumes exhibit a 2.48% rise, despite a 30-day decline of 2.44%. Ethereum’s price has fluctuated across 60 to 90-day periods, reflecting broader market volatility.

ethereum-daily-chart-2666
Ethereum(ETH), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 18:08 UTC on January 28, 2026. Source: CoinMarketCap

Coincu research analysts project potential regulatory changes stemming from consistent Federal Reserve strategies. Historical precedence suggests continued crypto adaptation may influence investor confidence, leading to tactical decisions and increased digital asset movements.

DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.
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Avatar of Liam Zhang

Liam Zhang

28 January 2026, 18:13:36 GMT +0000

Researcher    Blockchain Journalism    SEO Writing    Web3 Analysis

Liam Zhang is a cryptocurrency researcher with over 8 years of experience in blockchain reporting, digital currency education, and crypto content strategy. He breaks down complex topics like trading volumes, stablecoins, and token flows into simple, useful content. At Coincu.com, he shares clear, SEO-friendly guides and market updates for both new and experienced crypto readers.
"I believe in simplifying the complexities of crypto to empower readers and builders in the Web3 space."
  • Gender: Male
  • Date of Birth: March 15, 1988
  • Place of Birth: Shanghai, China
  • Company: Coincu
  • Website: Coincu.com
  • Email: liamzhang777@gmail.com

Experience

  • Over 8 years in blockchain journalism and crypto content creation
  • Specializes in crafting SEO-optimized articles and breaking alpha stories
  • Contributed to major platforms like Binance Academy and NeoBlockchain Insights

Background

  • 2013–2016: Content Creator at LocalCrypto Blog
  • 2016–2018: Lead Blockchain Content Writer at NeoBlockchain Insights
  • 2018–2023: Crypto Editor at Binance Academy
  • Current: Content Strategist at Coincu.com

Achievements

  • Built educational resources that reached millions of readers globally
  • Known for demystifying DeFi, NFTs, and layer-1 ecosystems
  • Recognized as a thought leader in Asian crypto media

Work Style

  • Research-driven
  • Detail-oriented
  • Creative communicator
  • Community-focused

Skills

  • SEO Writing
  • Blockchain Analysis
  • Crypto Storytelling
  • Social Media Engagement
  • Research
  • Analyst

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  • Liam Zhang regularly simplifies complex crypto concepts for beginners
  • He is a frequent contributor to crypto education platforms
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"Crypto for Creators: From Followers to Owners" - Published on Google Books Reference Links:

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