Huatai Securities Expects Delayed Fed Rate Cuts Amid Job Data

3 mins mins

Key Points:

Huatai Securities expects delay in Fed rate cuts.
US jobs data below expectations impacts financial outlook.
Market reactions see moderate impact on BTC and ETH.

Huatai Securities reports the U.S. added 50,000 non-farm jobs in December, missing predictions and prompting the Federal Reserve to reconsider interest rate timelines.

The weaker jobs data suggests a delay in interest rate cuts, impacting both traditional financial and cryptocurrency markets by affecting risk appetite and economic growth forecasts.

US Job Data Points to Delayed Fed Rate Cuts

Huatai Securities highlights a significant variance in US job data, noting revised lower figures in October and November by 76,000 jobs. A reported reduction in unemployment to 4.4% further indicates a softening labor market, albeit not collapsing as per projections. This moderates expectations for immediate Federal Reserve rate cuts and suggests a pause until the second half of the year.

The report underscores potential changes to Fed policy, delaying anticipated cuts until after a new chairperson takes office. This follows inflation and employment trends suggesting that further rate cuts are contingent on economic growth pacing job market adjustments.

Huatai Securities Research Team, Macro/Strategy Desk, Huatai Securities – “Weak but not collapsing U.S. jobs data will delay further Fed cuts until after a new Fed Chair is installed, with only 1–2 cuts expected in the second half of the year.” [Source: Huatai Securities Research]

Market observers and financial analysts react to the news of more conservative Federal Reserve action with varying degrees of caution. Prominent commentators highlight that while the Fed maintains a critical stance on inflation and employment metrics, this measured approach effectively curbs premature expectations for rate cuts.

Cryptocurrency Market Reaction to Federal Reserve Trends

Did you know? The employment diffusion index—a key gauge of job market health—shows its strength might not spiral despite lower NFP data. Historically, similar patterns ease Fed urgency for immediate rate cuts.

According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at $90,626.15 with a market cap of 1.81 trillion, reflecting a 0.3% increase over 24 hours. The cryptocurrency maintains a market dominance of 58.51% with a trading volume drop of 17.70%, indicative of stabilized investor sentiment.

bitcoin-daily-chart-5541 — Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 10:11 UTC on January 10, 2026. *Source: CoinMarketCap*

The Coincu research team surmises potential regulatory and market shifts if the Fed maintains delayed rate cuts amidst such job data indicators. Historical precedents suggest incremental market adjustments, potentially impacting high-beta cryptos due to delayed liquidity adjustments in financial markets.

DISCLAIMER: The information on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. We encourage you to do your own research before investing.