- Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin reaching $110,000 before dropping to $76,500.
- Fed’s shift from QT to QE factors into prediction.
- Bitcoin trading at $87,000, with notable market reactions.
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, stated on March 24, 2025, on X platform that he believes Bitcoin will hit $110,000 before dropping to $76,500. The statement is driven by the Federal Reserve’s transition from quantitative tightening to quantitative easing for U.S. Treasuries.
Bitcoin’s market conditions reflect Hayes’ predictions as U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of around $744 million, highlighting growing investor interest. The announcement has prompted discussions across financial platforms, with Mohamed El-Erian of Allianz criticizing the Fed’s stance, noting its premature judgment on inflation. However, investment firm BlackRock’s ETF saw significant investments amounting to $537 million, indicating trust among large investors.
Arthur Hayes Foresees Bitcoin at $110,000 Amid Fed Easing
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, posted on X platform expressing optimism about Bitcoin reaching $110,000 before a potential decline to $76,500. This prediction considers the Federal Reserve’s policy change from quantitative tightening to easing on U.S. debt. Hayes believes current inflation pressures are transitory, aligning with recent statements by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding tariffs and inflation effects.
“I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k. Y? The Fed is going from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don’t matter cause ‘transitory inflation’. JAYPOW told me so.” – Arthur Hayes
Bitcoin’s Market Dynamics: Supply, Demand, and Federal Policies
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Arthur Hayes previously predicted Bitcoin’s fall below $80,000 in February, which materialized, marking the lowest figure in three months. This historical accuracy has bolstered his reputation in the cryptocurrency space.
Bitcoin’s current standing provides insight into the cryptocurrency landscape’s dynamics. With a circulating supply of 19,841,362 and a maximum supply cap of 21,000,000, Bitcoin’s position as a store-of-value remains significant. Priced at $88,112 per BTC with a market cap of $1.75 trillion, Bitcoin dominates 60.7% of the cryptocurrency market. Its 24-hour trading volume reached $27.48 billion with a massive 155% increase. The price has ascended 3.5% in 24 hours and 5.5% over the past week, yet suffers a 9.5% decline over 90 days.
Industry experts suggest Bitcoin’s trajectory will be shaped by regulatory developments and technological progress. El-Erian highlights the risks of over-optimism in inflation evaluation, while other analysts point to Fed policy shifts impacting financial markets more broadly. Continued monitoring of these trends remains essential for stakeholders interested in cryptocurrency’s future.